Poll Shows Tierney-Tisei in Dead Heat

The western part of the Sixth Congressional District may be the deciding factor in who wins in the fall.

Congressman John Tierney and Republican challenger Richard Tisei at a candidate forum in 2012. Photo credit: Patch file photo.
Congressman John Tierney and Republican challenger Richard Tisei at a candidate forum in 2012. Photo credit: Patch file photo.

Congressman John Tierney and Republican challenger Richard Tisei are deadlocked, according to a new Emerson College Polling Society survey.

Each candidate got 44% of the vote in the survey that was conducted with 326 likely voters earlier this month. There is a 5.4% margin of error.

Tierney still has a primary race ahead of him, but the poll found Tierney has a commanding lead over the three prospective challengers.

If Tierney wins the Democratic primary, ECPS’ survey predicted another tight race for the Salem Democrat in the general election.  

ECPS found that the northern portion of the Sixth Congressional District is heavily for Tisei. The areas including Beverly, Topsfield and Middleton to the New Hampshire border sided with Tisei in the survey 48% to 38%.

However, Tierney’s grip on the southern part of the district is as strong. Places like Peabody, Salem and Lynn side with Tierney 50% to 40%, according to the survey.

Tierney’s strong support in those cities played a major role in his victory over Tisei in 2012.

The two men will need to fight over the western portion of the district. ECPS showed a slight 43% to 42% edge for Tisei in that area, which includes Lynnfield, North Reading, Bedford and Billerica.

Other takeaways from the survey:

  • There is a gender gap in terms of support. Women who were surveyed largely support Tierney while men largely back Tisei.
  • Nearly half of those surveyed said Tierney “does not deserve to be re-elected,” but 51% expects the incumbent to win re-election.
  • The most important issues in the elections are healthcare and jobs. Breaking it down by party, Democrats said jobs are the most important issue while Republicans said the deficit is the top issue.
  • Fifty percent of those surveyed support a proposed ballot question that would raise the state’s minimum wage to $10.50 an hour. Thirty-eight percent do not. Along party lines, 78% of Democrats surveyed support the idea while 32% of Republicans and 37% of unenrolled voters back it.
  • Sixty-eight percent of respondents support repealing an automatic state gas tax increase.
  • Casino gambling remains a dividing issue. Forty-one percent of those surveyed oppose casino gambling while 40% support it. The southern part of the Sixth District, which would be closest to a possible Revere casino, largely supports casino gambling (49% to 31%).
Cool Fusion April 15, 2014 at 12:11 PM
Which came first, the sociopathic leadership or the seriously dysfunctional populace? I suspect the answer is both and neither. The potentially lethal mistake we all tend to make is in believing that there is only one flavor of crazy. There are in fact seven billion variations of the base product, uniquely customized in cut, color and clarity to meet our own individual needs and perceptions. So in effect the problem is not they, those and them, but us, we and me. The ultimate act of freedom is to seriously consider breaking the chains that bind us. And those chains are not physical and won’t be found binding our wrists or ankles, but rather they are self imposed upon our own minds. Freedom, true freedom, can only begin when we willing choose to start down the path of personal sovereignty and total personal accountability.
Keith Lucy April 15, 2014 at 09:40 PM
Of course they are in a dead heat.... they are effectively the same person.
Andrew Denaro April 16, 2014 at 09:13 AM
Not even close Keith. While I can't say I full support everything Tisei says and he still is a politician after all... but comparing him to John Tierney is just ludicrous. Tisei wasn't involved in corruption and illegal activities as far as I know... and he certainly doesn't crap all over the U.S. Constitution to the degree Tierney does. I don't know if Tisei would have my vote or not yet, but John Tierney should be in prison.
Cool Fusion April 16, 2014 at 01:15 PM
Attention. Clean up on aisle 5. As usual, the agenda driven League of women voters will moderate a debate with pre-scripted questions posed by left-leaning newspaper opinion writers that will insure that Tierney will never get an inquiry of substance nor a question dealing with character or office performance. Tisei on the other hand will be pilloried with undertones of innuendo and aspersions of starving the children, defunding education, conducting a war on women, and being a stooge of the Koch brothers. It has worked for every election cycle. Republicans never learn.


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